Thursday, May 9, 2013

Commentary: Warren Student Loan Proposal is a Disaster

Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) has proposed opening of the Fed's discount window to student borrowers, albeit indirectly.  The plan would mandate that the Federal Reserve lend to the Department of Education via the discount window so that it could charge students the same 0.75 percent rate that banks pay for emergency short term financing from the Federal Reserve.  To the uninitiated, this plan sounds great.  But it is nonsense, a disaster, and a disgrace that such a radical proposal would come from a sitting US Senator.    

Since my critics will no doubt accuse me of being a defender of the big banks, or a call me a fat-cat plutocrat, let's get some background out the way.  I voted for Barack Obama in 2008, and again in 2012.  Both times my support was enthusiastic.  I have generally supported Mr. Obama and his economic policies.  I am a strong supporter of a quick and easy path to citizenship for undocumented workers, and I believe in free universal healthcare.  But if my fellow democrats don't kill Ms. Warren's proposal immediately, I will be ashamed of the capital "D" after my name. 

 So what's wrong with the Students Loan Fairness Act.  In a word, everything.  But let's go through the details just so there isn't any doubt. 

The Fed lends money to banks against collateral, typically US government bonds or other highly rated securities, on a very short-term basis, usually overnight.  The purpose of such loans is not to enrich the banks or enable them to speculate.  It is a mechanism by which the banks can temporarily convert their loans into cash to meet withdrawal demands.  Without this safety valve, banks with a sudden surge in withdrawal requests would be unable to pay depositors, since it is not possible for them to "call" loans made to other customers.  

Furthermore, the Fed takes full custody of the pledged collateral, and earns all interest accrued during the term of the loan.  The bank is also still on the hook for the 0.75 percent for borrowing from the Fed.  So the bank is not only stuck paying interest on the loan, it also must forfeit the income generated by the collateral.  The result is a big net cost to the bank.  
 Banks would much prefer to borrow on the interbank market, where rates are lower and no collateral is pledged. 

Finally, the discount window is a boon, not a cost, to taxpayers.  Since 2008, the Fed has issued over 30,000 loans via the discount window, all fully repaid on time with interest.  The result has been over 300 billion in profits remitted directly to the US Treasury.  During its entire history, due to its ultra stringent lending standards, the Fed has never suffered a default.  

So where does this leave us with Ms. Warren's proposal?  

To start, because the Fed's awesome power to print money has great potential for abuse by politicians, the Fed was intentionally walled off from the rest of government.  The Fed never funds the government.  This sacrosanct rule of central banking is key to the Fed's credibility and that of the United States.  Countries which have resorted to money printing by the central bank to fund the government have suffered calamity after calamity.  Two recent examples include Zimbabwe in the 2000s and Argentina in the 1980s.  

Despite the lessons from history, Ms. Warren's proposal engages in overt money finance, or economist jargon for printing money to pay the government's bills.  She would direct the Fed to provide financing to the Department of Education to fund its Stafford student loan program.  While the goal of helping students is laudable, the means represent a dangerous crossing of the Rubicon which cannot be ignored. 

But perhaps worst of all, Ms. Warren's rhetoric in promoting her bill reminds of the cynical, rank, pandering usually employed by the Right.  Comparing central bank loans to banks, which are secured by firm collateral and usually last days, to student loans secured by nothing but the student's character and repaid over decades is the kind of despicable dumming down of issues that makes getting an education so important in the first place. 

Ms. Warren has made her career going after the excesses of Wall Street and helping to regulate the financial system.  She helped stand up the CFPB and assisted with overseeing the TARP bailout.  I therefore find it hard to believe that Senator Warren does not understand the basics of discount window loans or how it differs from loans made to consumers or students.  The fact that she would take advantage of the public's ignorance of an obscure but crucial function of government to score political points is shameful.  And ironic, since the objective of this whole exercise is supposedly to promote higher education.  Perhaps Ms. Warren should remember who exactly she is trying to help.          

11 comments:

  1. As opposed to delineating "ALL" the facts of the proposed bill and then describing how each point is detrimental or not beneficial to society as a whole, you focus on one single aspect of the bill and fill your reasoning with insults, name-calling, misinformation, and rhetoric. Contrary to your contention, the students MUST pay back the loans come "hell or high water" (you cannot absolve it even through bankruptcy) thus your notion that the risk for such debt is higher than those to banks that have operated recklessly and required "taxpayer" bailout to be "alive" today is without logic and proper reasoning. The bill is meant to be beneficial to both sides: 1) the students pay BACK what was borrowed; and 2) the principal on the loan is paid to the lender with a less exorbitant interest amount.

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  2. Thank you for your feed back. You obviously bring a lot of passions to the issues. I will do my best to respond to your concerns,

    1) I must take issue with your accusation of name-calling. While I employ sarcasm, and I obviously believe Ms Warren's proposal is misguided, I never call her naive or ignorant. The post looks pretty laser focused on the proposal, and touches on several flaws, such as the implication that the discount window is a profit outlet for banks, and that it forces the Federal Reserve to directly fund the government. Unfortunately, since Senator Warren proposed the bill, the post can't help but being a negative reflection on her. But not in personal manner, only professionally.

    2) I read the post again to check for inaccurate information. The only thing I found that I feel could be construed as unclear is the purpose of discount window loans. Historically, the discount window has been used to allow customer withdrawals, but today it almost exclusive used to meet reserve requirements, themselves an instrument of monetary policy.

    3) Not being able to discharge via bankruptcy is a place where we can agree. Actually, what we really need is a pay as you earn plan. Students would repay loans in a manner consistent with their earnings. Payments would be suspended in times of unemployment or if graduates couldn't find jobs. But in the end, this has nothing to do with the Federal Reserve. It is the exclusive purview of Congress actually. Warren's proposal asks our central bank to do all sorts of things it is not intended and in fact prohibited from doing.

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  3. Where does the money for student loans come from currently? Why can't the interest rate be changed there, e.g. if the money is borrowed from China, then why can't the government just pass on the interest rate on the funds borrowed from China? But having it set to the same rate (0.75%) as the Fed lends to banks is a good idea. Student debt wouldn't be so high if the interest rates were lower. But the risk on the students is extremely high, so how can the government secure collateral for students, or whatever to ensure repayment.

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    1. Let's settle a few misconceptions here.

      1) The US government does not "borrow money from China." Chinese entities, including the central bank, purchase US debt securities on the open market, along with US banks, US pension funds, and grandma and grandpa. The rate is determined by whatever is bid when the treasury auctions off the bond. Currently, the 10-year US treasury bond is yielding 2.22 percent.

      2) The student loan program is a direct subsidy to students. Due to the high risk of student loans, private lenders would probably demand close to 15 percent APR to lend to students unsecured over decades. Consider that currently close to 10 percent of student borrowers default, so the 15 percent instantly becomes roughly five percent for the aggregate portfolio. I would much rather simply give students money in the form of grants rather than lower interest rates, especially since the student loan credit bubble is driving up tuition costs.

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  4. Education Loan:- Education loans in India (popularly known as Student loans) have become a popular method of funding higher education in India with the cost of educational degrees going higher. Thanks for sharing a nice information.

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    Replies
    1. Alas, the student finance bubble appears to have spread overseas. Since it is virtually impossible for private lenders to make money at this, government subsidized loans serviced by banks often become a great way for the banks to earn juicy fees with taking no risks. Much more efficient to simply give students aid in the form of grants, but that would be socialism.

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    2. Too bad, the person account bubble seems to have spread abroad. Since it is basically unimaginable for private loan specialists to profit at this, legislature financed credits overhauled by banks frequently turn into an incredible path for the banks to acquire delicious charges with going out on a limb. Substantially more productive to basically give understudies support as gifts, yet that might be communism.

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  5. the scholar account bubble seems to have spread abroad. Since it is for all intents and purpose unimaginable for private loan specialists to profit at this, administration financed credits adjusted by banks regularly turn into an incredible route for the banks to acquire delicious charges with going for broke. Significantly more proficient to basically give learners help in the type of awards, however that might be communism.

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  6. Oh, the person fund bubble seems to have spread abroad. Since it is for all intents and purpose incomprehensible for private moneylenders to profit at this, legislature sponsored advances adjusted by banks regularly turn into an incredible route for the banks to procure delicious expenses with going for broke. Significantly more effective to essentially give scholars help as awards, yet that might be communism. Defaulted student loans .

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